Labour continue to narrow the gap on the Conservatives, with the General Election's latest polls and odds showing that Theresa May may not actually win many more seats.
YouGov's latest poll has the Tory lead at just three points over Labour, while ICM has it standing at 12 points, as Jeremy Corbyn appeared on the BBC's Leaders Debate at the same time as Theresa May boycotted it.
Political campaigning restarted on Friday after being suspended in the wake of the terror attack in Manchester. Prior to the attack Labour had been gaining on the Conservatives, albeit with a healthy deficit still left to overcome.
The gap between the two major parties has continued to narrow in our poll tracker since campaigning resumed, but different polling companies are forecasting wildly different results.
At the start of the campaign some polls had the Tories at almost double the vote share of the Labour Party, indicating that the most likely outcome would be a landslide victory that would increase Theresa May's current working majority of 17 in the House of Commons.
However, May's lead has dropped from 17.8 points to below 10 in our poll tracker since she called the election on April 18. This is a rolling daily average of the last eight polls.
While the pollsters still give the Tories a clear lead, the the party's dwindling advantage will be a concern to party headquarters, and a boost to their rivals.
Some experts had estimated that the Tories would take as many as 56 seats from Labour, leaving them with a 200-seat lead over the official opposition party, aided by Ukip's apparent collapse in popular support over recent weeks.
What are the betting odds for the UK general election?
Political pollsters have taken a beating recently after failing to predict a Conservative majority in 2015, a Leave vote last summer and a Donald Trump victory in November.
For those who have lost faith in polling, there is another way of predicting electoral outcomes: ask people who are prepared to put their money where their mouth is. Many now believe that political betting markets can better predict elections, relying on the wisdom of a crowd of punters to sort and weigh all the probabilities.
Coral's latest odds for the election have Mrs May as most likely to continue as Prime Minister after the election. The latest odds for the party to emerge with the most seats are:
- Conservative - 1/12
- Labour - 13/2
- Lib Dems - 500/1
- Ukip - 1000/1
- Greens - 1000/1
Article source:yahoo.com
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